This weekend we have the biggest contest we have ever observed for DraftKings MMA. We’ve got a $10 entry competition with $300,000 in total prizes, and $100,000 of that to 1st place. I never believed we’d see a 6-figure 1st place trophy for MMA but that I was incorrect and that I can’t wait to chase it. Conor McGregor vs Khabib Nurmagomedov will be the biggest fight in UFC history and DraftKings simply made it even bigger for us DFS players. We are down to 12-fights therefore we could observe a number of ties for this 1st place prize, so strive to be different with your lineups somewhere, or make salary on the dining table to differ in that way. With that said, here are a few plays I enjoy this weekend Together with my fade of the week:
Money Game play of the week — Vicente Luque ($9,400)
Luque is the»safest» drama on the card by a fantastic margin in his -900 betting line. I enjoy plugging in those high odds guys in cash so that I can lock a triumph in there and worry about locating 3 other wins from my 5 other areas. We usually only want 4 wins in money games to win against the money line, so that is what I shoot for in those 50/50 or double up games. Luque has been quite remarkable in his UFC conduct and he has overcome some pretty big names. On paper, this is one of his simplest matches nonetheless. He also has large time upside down with his completing possible. He has an ITD line of -270, therefore I think we could have 100+ points within this triumph. He’s a fantastic play in most formats, but he is going to be chalky in tournaments, so that’s why he is my money play of the week instead.
GPP drama of this week — Alexander Volkov ($8,700)
Heavyweights are always good to target in GPPs since it only takes 1 shot with a lot of these men. I believe that this is a good matchup for Volkov and he is only priced at $8.7k weekly. If he can get a 1st round KO at that price, he will probably be on the winning LU. Same is true for Lewis, so he’s a good GPP drama too. But, my pick to win will be Volkov and that I like his price. I believe a few guys priced above him this week will be much more possessed, so we could get a heavyweight favored at lower ownership . Fight Doesn’t Go To Decision is presently lined at -190, therefore this is a fantastic GPP fight to aim over all. If you like the Black Beast to get the W, then he’s a good fighter to throw in your GPP LUs.
Underdog drama of the week — Tony Martin ($7,400)
This really is the best odds value on the card. Presently, Laflare is lined at -135 and Tony Martin is lined at +115. But on DraftKings Laflare is priced $1,400 greater than Martin. I enjoy searching online worth like that which alone puts Martin in drama in all formats. Martin also has got the better odds to finish this battle ITD, so that is another and with him. I like the floor for Martin in money games as well because Laflare is not very likely to complete if he wins. So, at $7.4k, we can afford a loss from Martin and take the points he could rack up in 15-minutes.
Fade of this week — Sergio Pettis ($8,600)
Sergio Pettis could get the win . However, he is going to have to acquire a end to repay his $8.6k price . Sergio will not be heading for any takedowns in this battle, and he doesn’t strike a high enough speed for him to get 10x of the $8.6k. Sergio are the better fighter around the toes, but when he doesn’t get a finish then he likely only scores 60-70 points at a win. Those low scores do not cut it in $8.6k. There are only better plays points per dollar and people are the guys I’ll be targeting. Sergio is a strong fade if you are earning 20 or less lineups this weekend.
Thank you for reading this and good luck this weekend! If you would like my own full-card breakdown at which I breakdown every struggle about the card and give my complete DraftKings evaluation, as well as all my pick predictions, then you can find that for only $7.99 at this link below:
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